
To all appearances, the Armenian Genocide will not be recognized by Turkey in the near future due to the powerful oil lobby there at least, Director of the Political Economy Research Institute Andranik Tevanyan told ArmInfo corespondent when commenting on the apology campaign initiated by Turkey.
"The official stance of Ankara stressed for several times is that it will not open the border with Armenia until the Karabakh conflict is settled in Azerbaijan's favor. So, no real progress is most likely expected in this issue in the near future", the expert said.
He added that real discussion is currently being held in Turkey on the issue that Turkey's past should be "edited". "At the moment, there are two conceptions in Turkey: liberal and fundamental. I think that only liberal Turkey may recognize the Genocide, establish normal relations with its neighbors and integrate into Europe. But on the other hand, if Turkey becomes a liberal state, this may shake its foundations as independent Kurdistan will be created, the Armenian Issue and many other issues will arise. One can draw an analogy with the Soviet Union as Turkey, like the Soviet Union, is a kind of empire. If "their Gorbachyov" comes to power in Turkey and catalyzes all these processes, Turkey may simply disappear. And if someone like Andropov comes to power and the conception of the "steady hand" is established, which doesn't accept its past, Turkey will have to fight with the whole West and may simply fail to stand this fight", Tevanyan concluded.
/ArmInfo/