Today.Az » Politics » Azerbaijani expert names timeframe for signing of treaty on Nagorno-Karabakh conflict resolution
12 July 2010 [11:30] - Today.Az
Day.Az interview with Azerbaijani political expert Mubariz Ahmadoglu.
According to Armenian media reports, mayor of American city of Glendale Ara Najarian has announced that “Armenian diaspora is ready to defend motherland” in event hostilities resume in Karabakh…
Neither Armenia nor the Armenian Diaspora is able to resist liberation of Azerbaijan’s territories. Here are two examples. Armenians throughout the world have raised funds to restore Shusa for many years. What is result? The diaspora cannot still raise funds as if Shusha is not a small town, but a huge metropolis. Here is another example of "power" of the Armenian diaspora. According to Armenian media, the head of Armenians of Russia Ara Abrahamyan holds campaign asking his countrymen to donate 10 dollars to save the only Armenian-language television station in Moscow.
There are other examples. Recently, “Dashnaksutyun” accused the government that they supposedly betray Nagorno-Karabakh, denounced the statement by the leaders of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairing countries and called on Armenians to protest the authorities and the international community.
So, despite the hysteria, just 30 people gathered at a rally of Dashnaks in central Yerevan in defense of Karabakh.... So, Najaryan’s pseudo-partiotic pathos is just idle talk.
In your opinion, will U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s recent visit to Azerbaijan and Armenia have impact on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict resolution?
The three documents - the statement by U.S., Russian and French presidents, the statement made by U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in Baku and the statement by the OSCE Minsk Group are determining factor of content and development of negotiations on the Nagorno Karabakh conflict.
The leitmotif of these documents is that unresolved Nagorno-Karabakh conflict threatens regional security, and this question must be fundamentally addressed. The desire to establish lasting peace at in the South Caucasus, the gates of Europe, is quite understandable. And now it is obvious that solution to the Karabakh problem is key to ensuring peace and stability.
What is the reason for a new wave of euphoria in Armenia regarding alleged upcoming opening of Armenian-Turkish border?
These talks began after the statement by Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu that a treaty on the Karabakh conflict settlement will be signed by the end of this year. In other words, the process of resolving the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan will begin. And this may mark beginning of a process of opening of the Armenian-Turkish border. That's it.
In general, the actions of the Armenian ruling elite have increasingly bizarre, contradictory moments. For example, Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian expressed positive attitude towards the statement by Presidents of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairing countries, which openly call for liberation of the occupied territories. It turns out that Nalbandian supports the statement in which Armenia is mentioned as an occupier country.
Interesting enough, a statement has been issued on behalf of the puppet regime in Nagorno-Karabakh expressing support for the idea of placing peacekeeping forces in the region. This fact means recognizing the need for withdrawal of occupying troops. Armenia is forced to reckon with the position of the three leaders of the co-chairing countries.
In your opinion, how far are failure of peace talks and resumption of hostilities realistic?
The threat of renewed hostilities remains very high even amid peace negotiations. It depends on a number of internal and external factors.
What are your predictions on further developments in the region in the months to come?
According to my predictions, a big treaty on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict resolution will be signed by the end of this year. In any case, the year 2010 should see a fundamental turn towards resolution. I think that a treaty will be signed in five-sided format: three co-chair of OSCE Minsk Group plus Azerbaijan and Armenia. Perhaps Armenian and Azerbaijani communities of Nagorno-Karabakh will start a joint activity and preparations will be underway for deployment of peacekeeping forces.
/Day.Az/
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