Today.Az » Politics » It is most important for Armenia to remain on the occupied lands of Azerbaijan as long as possible: Russian political scientist
17 March 2009 [13:43] - Today.Az
It is most important for Armenia to remain on the occupied lands of Azerbaijan as long as possible, said Russian political scientist Alexander Karavayev, chief of the service of political forecast of the Center of studying post-Soviet area.
According to him, it is difficult to say anything clearly whether there is still a perspective or danger of resumption of hostilities in Nagorno Karabakh for the interests of any party-either Azerbaijan, Armenia, Russia or West.
"On the one hand, we hear every day about the fire on the line on armed confrontation and tensions is constantly felt. Therefore, we can not reject anything or even speak of any terms. Another matter is that if we agan compare the situation around Nagorno Karabakh with Georgian conflicts, the probability of resumption of hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia is extremely low.
Here I mean hostilities that would not go beyond the framework of small incidents when there is information about the passage of one or even a group of soldiers over the contact line. Of courses, such cases are not a cause to resume war, though on the other hand, the cause can be insignificant. But on the whole we see that each side finds it difficult to start war, considering that superpowers will not render a direct aid either to Armenia or Azerbaijan for the armed completion of this conflict", noted the political scientist.
He said we can not state that Russia will provide Armenia with any sources for it to fix in the region.
"On the whole, when I hear some statements that Armenia is planning hostilities to expand the occupation area, I ask a question to myself-why does it need it for? As in the sense of Armenian military planning this is an absolute nonsense", noted Kaaravayev
It is most important for Armenia to remain on the occupied lands of Azerbaijan as long as possible, said he.
"But another matter is that when Azerbaijan pays attention to different possible variants of the development of such a script. They usually try to substantiate the division of geopolitical spheres of influence, which would mean deployment of peacekeeping contingent there in the framework of NATO, or other framework but without Russia, or vise versa, deployment of peacekeeping contingent by CSTO and Russia", he said and concluded that such measures can cardinally change the regional system of security balances and influence the wider redistribution of powers in the Near East region.
Such scripts, he said deserve instant attention but on the whole it is just clear that today the South Caucasus region is not so important.
/Day.Az/
|
|
