Today.Az » Politics » Yerevan fails to recognize the importance of listening to Azerbaijan
05 November 2024 [11:24] - Today.Az
The tongue-tied speaker of the Armenian Parliament, Alen
Simonyan, tried to explain the existence of revanchism in his country. It
turned out, as always, clumsy and funny.
Simonyan stated that Armenians have no desire for
revanchism, and that Azerbaijanis invented this notion. According to her, in
Armenia, people only dream of peace. Speaker Simonyan views the issue of the
Zangezur corridor as the "greatest revenge." She explains it like
this: by demanding a road through Zangezur, Azerbaijan "instills a kind of
revanchism that the Armenian people do not have." So, by demanding that
Armenia restore the road to Nakhchivan, are we provoking base instincts among
Armenians? An interesting approach to the issue. Purely Armenian.
In any case, the neighbors can relax - Azerbaijan is already
building a road to Nakhchivan. The opening of the road to NAR through Iran will
to some extent remove the need for active pressure on Yerevan in order to force
it to fulfill its obligations. But one should not think that Azerbaijan intends
to abandon its demands altogether. Although this is not the main thing. The
main thing that Yerevan should think about is that Iran will receive dividends
from transit, and Armenia will once again be left with a broken trough. During
the time that the Armenian side is engaged in demagogic chatter and blackmail,
the road through Meghri could have already been restored and would have brought
Armenia out of isolation, because this would have been followed by the
unblocking of other communications, as well as the opening of the border by
Turkiye. But Armenia has made its choice, and, as always, the wrong one.
Another project of regional importance bypasses it. And this is the last real
project in which Armenia could participate. She missed the previous real
projects because of the aggressive policy. The Zangezur corridor was the last
opportunity for it to integrate into regional transit. Other projects where her
name appears are unrealistic due to geopolitical conditions and high costs that
no one wants to bear. And most importantly, due to the absence of Azerbaijan in
them. It has long been noticed that projects in which Baku does not participate
go very hard, or remain only on paper. And there is no mystery here.
If postponing the issue of the Zangezur corridor for now
will somehow help the "humanization" of Armenian society (as follows
from Simonyan's words), then we hasten to please our neighbors. By the end of
next year, the automotive segment of communications connecting the main part of
Azerbaijan with the NAR through Iran will begin to function. The border road
bridge was laid in Agbend (Zangilan) in early October last year as part of the
Memorandum of Understanding between the governments of Azerbaijan and Iran on
the creation of new communication links between the East Zangezur Economic
Region of Azerbaijan and the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic (NAR) through the
territory of Iran. It is expected that after the completion of construction,
the number of trucks and other vehicles that will be able to receive a
checkpoint at the state border and a road bridge with seven lanes on a daily
basis will amount to 1.1 thousand. cars and 30 buses.
The day before, footage of the bridge under construction
across the Araz was published. It is reported that almost 50 percent of the
work has been completed on the Azerbaijani side, and 25 percent on the Iranian
side. Many analysts fear that the Iranian part of the project will suffer the
same fate as the Rasht-Astara railway line, the construction of which Iran has
been dragging on for many years. Recall that Rasht-Astara is an important part
of the "through" North-South railway. To connect the North with the
South, in particular, with the Persian Gulf, only this section is missing. Last
year, Russia took over the bulk of the financing of the project (1.3 out of 1.6
billion euros), and the matter seems to have moved forward.
However, in the case of the South Araz corridor, as it is
called, there will be no such delays. First of all, because Iran needs it
itself. The Iranian side has done everything to prevent the implementation of
the Zangezur corridor. Tehran sang along with Yerevan in every possible way,
supporting its foolish fears. In Armenia, they rejoiced at this support, not
realizing that the neighbors were simply eliminating a competitor in this way.
Having carried out communications from Eastern Zangezur to Nakhchivan, Iran
automatically becomes a participant in East-West transit, or rather, one of the
branches of this grandiose route. Armenia could have been in his place, but
Yerevan did not have the sense to see the future. But Iran saw this prospect
perfectly well, and under the pretext of caring about Armenia's sovereignty,
they distanced it from the opportunities that opened up to it. So the Iranian
side will try very hard to implement the project until Yerevan gets smarter. In
difficult geopolitical vicissitudes and with Iran's precarious position in the
international arena, the Azerbaijani project will always be a transport window
for it in the western direction.
It is important that in addition to the highway, the
construction of a railway line is also planned within the framework of the
agreements. A couple of weeks ago, the heads of the railway departments of the
two countries discussed a railway project that will connect the NAR with the
main territory of Azerbaijan through Iranian territory. The part of the railway
corridor that falls on the territory of Azerbaijan can be said to be almost
ready. The construction of the Goradiz-Agbend road is proceeding rapidly. In
the future, this line will connect with Iranian railways via a railway bridge
across the Araz. The length of the Goradiz-Agbend highway is more than 110 kilometers,
and together with the side tracks 140 kilometers. There will be 40 bridges on
it, and one of them - across the Hakari River, will become the longest railway
bridge in the region. It has 23 spans and is over 770 meters long. As the
Railways proudly emphasize, the bridge, which is being built in technically
difficult conditions, was designed exclusively by local specialists.
It should be noted that the Goradiz-Agbend railway will be
completed in 2025. By this time, Armenia should have already completed the
restoration of its section of the Zangezur corridor. If Yerevan had not started
listening to external advisers, it would have been so. In January 2022, Nikol
Pashinyan created a working group to prepare a plan for the restoration of the
Soviet-era railway connecting the main part of Azerbaijan with the Nakhchivan
Autonomy. This was the only practical step that Yerevan took to implement its
commitments made within the framework of the Trilateral Statement, but
Pashinyan failed to complete it. I didn't have the guts. According to
preliminary estimates, the work on the Armenian section of the road - from
Yeraskh to the western border of NAR and from the eastern tip of Nakhchivan
through Meghri (Western Zangezur) to the border of the main territory of
Azerbaijan - was supposed to cost about $ 200 million and take three years.
To be fair, Pashinyan initially tried to explain to his
unhealthy society the advantages that the restoration of this railway line
would give Armenia. But the society did not understand him. And later, the
country had new advisers who advised it to turn the obligations of Armenia,
which lost the war, into an object of blackmail and speculation.
It was a big mistake. In response to the blackmail,
Azerbaijan simply began to build a road to the NAR through Iran, making it
clear that it always has a plan B, and Armenia is not a country that can set
conditions for someone. Especially Baku.
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