Managing Director of Trans-Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) Kjetil Tungland's exclusive interview for AzerNews
Question.: What do you believe played a crucial role in TAP's
selection for the Southern Gas Corridor? What were the advantages of
your route that contributed to this decision by the Shah Deniz
Consortium?
Answer: As you know, the Shah Deniz Consortium had
established eight selection criteria - commerciality, project
deliverability, financial deliverability, engineering design, alignment
and transparency, safe and efficient operability, scalability and public
policy considerations. So, at the end of the day, I would say it came
down to just that: the pipeline project that best fulfilled these
requirements. We always believed that TAP was the best option for Europe
- more robust, more strategic and technically more advanced.
While there are several crucial points that endorse TAP's case, it is
important to draw attention to the key characteristics. TAP provides
access to some of the most attractive markets in Europe with significant
energy demand along the pipeline route and it is able to offer a
competitive gas transportation tariff. Our pipeline requires no
government subsidies or contributions from the European taxpayer in
order to be built.
Additionally, TAP is extremely versatile. The pipeline's capacity is
scalable from 10bcm per year to over 20bcm and it has built-in reverse
flow capacity. It can facilitate new supplies to those countries where
new energy resources are needed the most, in South Eastern Europe as
well as in the Western European markets.
Finally, I believe the human element also played an important role in
the selection process. TAP had a team of world-leading engineers and
experts that worked diligently every day and polished our offer to
perfection.
Q.:TAP's initial capacity is projected at 10 billion cubic
metres (bcm) per year, and Azerbaijan forecasts its gas production at
50-60 billion cubic metres by 2030. Given this, what changes are planned
in TAP's design to increase capacity? What is the potential of TAP to
bring the emerging gas volumes of the Caspian basin to Europe?
A.: Indeed, the pipeline can easily accommodate
additional gas volumes in the future as these come on stream. By
installing just two additional compressors along its route, TAP can
double its annual capacity to over 20bcm.
That said, it is important to put things into perspective. Although
the initial 10bcm of Shah Deniz gas equals approximately only 2 percent
of Europe's demand, this will be a much-needed new gas from a source
which was not accessible to Europe before. TAP is the first step in
opening the Southern Gas Corridor, a grander energy project that in the
longer-term can transport additional volumes from the wider Caspian
region.
Q.:What impact do you believe Azerbaijan's gas and the
Southern Gas Corridor will have on Europe's future energy security? What
are the chances of other Caspian countries' joining the Corridor? What
are the prospects of construction of other pipelines to bring this gas
to Europe?
A.: We really need to look at the big picture. The
opening of the Southern Gas Corridor is a truly significant development
for Europe's energy security. It ensures a new source of natural gas and
an opportunity to reduce dependence on just a few major energy
suppliers.
TAP's routing offers the possibility to link to key pipeline
infrastructure projects in South Eastern Europe such as the Ionian
Adriatic Pipeline (IAP), thereby facilitating supplies to some of the
countries where new resources are needed the most - Albania, Bosnia and
Herzegovina, Montenegro and Croatia.
TAP can also facilitate new supplies to Bulgaria either via the
planned Interconnector Greece-Bulgaria (IGB) or via reverse flow at the
interconnection point Kula-Sidirokastro line. This latter option was
already used in 2009 to inject natural gas in the Bulgaria-Greece
pipeline from the Greek LNG terminal at Revythoussa.
It is important to clarify however that while we cooperate with
various pipeline infrastructure project developers in several countries,
TAP is not responsible for gas sales or the actual gas deliveries to
those markets.
Regarding the chances of other Caspian countries to join the Southern
Gas Corridor beyond 2020, I think there are good prospects as the
reserves in the region are truly abundant.
Finally, concerning the likelihood of additional pipelines to Europe,
I would like to emphasize the fundamental importance of a strong
commercial case to ensure success.
Q.: What are key arguments regarding the benefits of the TAP
route for southern Europe? What effects of TAP do you await on Western
Europe?
A.: TAP's core benefit for Europe is the diversification of gas
supplies. That said, our pipeline will bring significant economic
benefits to Southern Europe, particularly providing economic stimuli to
two important Eurozone countries as well as Albania. Independent studies
indicate that in Greece alone, the implementation of TAP will be worth
approximately €1.5 billion as well as it will create approximately 2,000
direct and 10,000 indirect jobs, providing a positive signal for
foreign investors.
In Italy, according to an independent Nomisma study, the pipeline
construction will contribute directly to the GDP in the Puglia region
with approximately € 80 million per year during the construction period,
and it will create approximately 150 jobs (part-time and full-time)
annually.
According to an independent study undertaken by Oxford Economics, in
Albania, TAP's implementation will cost approximately €1 billion and it
will foster significant economic activity by generating employment,
sustaining infrastructure creation and developing local skills and
capabilities. The study indicates that the direct impact of the project
will peak in 2017, at which point activity could generate €57 million
for Albanian GDP and create 4,200 jobs (full-time and part-time)
annually.
Regarding Western Europe, TAP's landfall in Italy provides
opportunities for bringing gas to France, Switzerland, Germany, Austria,
Belgium, and even the UK. These latter two markets look particularly
promising given that Fluxys, the Belgian grid operator, recently came
on-board as a TAP shareholder.
Q.: How is the progress of TAP project ahead of the start of
construction works and a final investment decision of the Shah Deniz
Consortium?
A.: TAP is progressing smoothly in full alignment with the
development of the Shah Deniz 2 in Azerbaijan. As you know, we completed
our Front End Engineering Design (FEED) in March this year, so we
continue the subsequent work in this area preparing for tendering.
Also, our Environmental and Social Impact Assessments (ESIA) have
been submitted in all three host countries. Our application has already
been approved in Albania and consultations are currently underway in
Greece and Italy.
Furthermore, in September 2013, TAP began the Land Easement and
Acquisition (LEA) activities in Greece and Albania. Our contracted teams
began extensive work on identifying the rightful landowners in the
pipeline corridor.
On the political front, we are expecting the ratification of the
Intergovernmental Agreement (IGA), signed between Italy, Greece and
Albania in February 2013, in the Italian Parliament. The Italian Senate
ratified the agreement on the 17th of October and the
ratification in the Chamber of Deputies is pending. The IGA was already
ratified in Albania (March 2013) and in Greece (April 2013).
Also, TAP is on schedule to start building access roads to
construction sites in Albania in 2014 in order to be in a position to
launch the actual pipeline construction in 2015.
One key upcoming milestone still this year is the Resolution to
Construct, or in other words TAP's shareholders' investment decision. We
remain confident that this will be successfully completed, ahead of the
Shah Deniz Consortium's Final Investment Decision for the entire
Southern Gas Corridor value chain.