Today.Az » Analytics » Fragile peace is under strain
13 April 2016 [18:25] - Today.Az
By Etibar Aliyev
Nurturing peace remains one of the vital problems in war-torn Syria, the most vulnerable land in the Middle East for now.
Syria is holding parliamentary elections in condition of fragile ceasefire agreement reached late this February.
While some hope the parliamentary elections to help to stabilize the situation in long-suffering Syria, many believe them to be ineffective in terms of finding a solution to the politically ill situation in the country.
Can the elections be regarded when the country's opposition Supreme Committee on negotiations calls them illegitimate due to their irrelevance? Furthermore, the U.S. Department of State does not recognize their results referring to inability to demonstrate the Syrian people's will, which means that they will not be recognized by the West as well.
Sergei Balmasov, a senior analyst at the Center for the study of the crisis of society, believes that it is at least too premature to hold elections in one-third of the country on behalf of the Syrian people.
"It is not the first time that Assad holds election," he said.
The main aim, on the one hand, is to show the international community its democracy, and on the other hand, to demonstrate to their own people," turnover "of power. And always, these ideas do not reach its goal, primarily due to the fact that it controls only about one third of the former territory of Syria.
As peace-building process is clashing with stones almost on each side, even a small step forward achieving a positive change is regarded as a "big success". Indeed Syria has made a huge progress over the past period to return to its stable life it had five years ago. Over these uneasy years the Syrian problem could become the most dangerous development in the region, leaving almost no hope for diplomatic tools to work in their right direction.
Now the crisis has reached it peak as the world majors are grappling to find a solution that could begin the peace building process.
Balmasov believes that Assad will just witness the real Syrian border under its control.
The general situation in the country continues to be difficult, and in some provinces controlled by official Damascus, tends to the complexity. Yesterday's attempt to counter-attack forces "Dzhabhat en-Nusra" in Latakia province clearly demonstrated that Russian air strikes have not destroyed the potential Islamic radicals.
Balmasov believes that a truce in many parts of the country was very conditional and periodically violated by both sides. Furthermore, after the withdrawal of a considerable part of the Russian aviation group from Syria, some categories branded "moderate" in fact stood in a raw of radicals. This is especially evident in the Aleppo area, causing jihadists significantly to expand the territory they control, which caused significant losses to the forces opposing the government forces, the Iranian troops and Shiite militias volunteer.